The World Meteorological Organization says El Nino could become exceptionally strong, with tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures forecast to reach about 3.8 degrees Celsius above average during November 2026 to January 2027.
The 3.8-degree figure is a forecast anomaly in the Nino 3.4 region of the tropical Pacific, not a prediction that air temperatures worldwide will rise by that amount. The seasonal outlook was published on 21 October 2026.
El Nino can shift rainfall and temperature patterns, but impacts vary by region.
What does the latest forecast say?
WMO forecasts the Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly to reach about +3.8 degrees Celsius in November 2026 to January 2027, with warming expected to peak around December.
What could it mean for India and Telangana?
El Nino can raise the risk of deficient rainfall in parts of South Asia, but it does not determine rainfall in every district. The Indian Ocean Dipole, regional weather systems and rainfall timing also matter.
For Telangana, the practical implications will depend on the evolving monsoon outlook, local reservoir storage and district-level forecasts. El Niño alone does not establish that a drought will occur in the state.
Telangana weather updates: https://mausam.imd.gov.in/hyderabad/
Sources: World Meteorological Organization’s Global Seasonal Climate Update (21 October 2026); India Meteorological Department, Hyderabad.
El Niño is a global climate driver, not a precise district-level forecast. Follow official IMD updates for local warnings.
GAWAH News Desk
